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Al Ittihad Misurata vs Al Madina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League Misurata Stadium, Misrata
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Misurata host Al Madina in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Ittihad Misurata at 1 goals for, 0.87 against; Al Madina at 1.23 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Al Madina slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.13) back Al Ittihad Misurata to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Ittihad Misurata
30%
Draws
31%
Al Madina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ittihad Misurata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Madina have won more games recently than Al Ittihad Misurata.
  • Al Ittihad Misurata are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Ittihad Misurata Clean Sheet 20%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Misurata Al Madina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ittihad Misurata
1:1
Jun 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ittihad Misurata
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Al Madina
1:1
Feb 11, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Al Madina
1:3
Dec 20, 2024 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ittihad Misurata
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Misurata 40 / 100
Al Madina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Misurata Al Madina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Misurata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Ittihad Misurata found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Madina has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Misurata stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Misurata VS Al Madina
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Misurata

(Home)
13 Oct
Shabab Al Ghar
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Misurata
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
0 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
Page 1 of 7

Al Madina

(Away)
13 Oct
Al Madina
2 : 0
Al Watan
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Madina 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Al Ittihad Misurata 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Olympic Azzaweya 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
4 Al Ittihad 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Malaab El Libby 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Khmes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Bashaer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Assabah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Al Majd 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Shomooa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Shabab Al Ghar 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
14 Al Watan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Afreeki 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Akhdar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Darnes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 Al Taawun 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Al Sadaqa 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Wefaq Ajdabiya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Ahly Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Nasr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Tahaddi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Military Union 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Jadida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Batnan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Sharara 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)