Sport Picks
Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr Prediction & H2H Stats
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
4'
4'
Ilenikhena G.
22'
22'
Ilenikhena G.
Assist: Aouar H.
36'
36'
Angelo
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Ittihad and Al Nassr finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittihad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Nassr carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Al Ittihad a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 15%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 King Cup
Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr
0:2
Aug 19, 2025 Super Cup
Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer Ilenikhena G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Al Nassr Compare
Top Goalscorer Angelo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ittihad 39 / 100
Al Nassr 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ittihad Al Nassr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ittihad found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Al Ittihad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Al Nassr let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Al Ittihad VS Al Nassr
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ittihad
(Home) 14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
15 Aug
Al Ittihad
1 : 1 Al Kholood
21 May
Al Ittihad
1 : 5 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 3
Al Nassr
(Away) 15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Al Taawon
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
25 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
2 : 3 Al Nassr
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
