Sport Picks
Al Ittihad vs Al Qadsiah
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
2'
2'
Al Juwayr M.
Assist: Nandez N.
37'
37'
Quinones J.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Quinones J.
Assist: Nandez N.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Ittihad and Al Qadsiah finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Qadsiah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Qadsiah carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad | Al Qadsiah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad
0:1
May 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Qadsiah
1:5
Jan 22, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad
2:1
May 30, 2025 King Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Qadsiah
3:1
Mar 6, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ittihad Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Juwayr M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ittihad 30 / 100
Al Qadsiah 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ittihad Al Qadsiah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ittihad scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Al Ittihad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Al Qadsiah conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Al Ittihad VS Al Qadsiah
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ittihad
(Home) 11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
15 Aug
Al Ittihad
1 : 1 Al Kholood
21 May
Al Ittihad
1 : 5 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 3
Al Qadsiah
(Away) 11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
17 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
13 Aug
Al Shabab
1 : 3 Al Qadsiah
26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
