Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Ittihad vs KMKM

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2021/2022 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Kara Y.
72' Event
Zubya M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al-Ittihad in this CAF Champions League 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al-Ittihad
20%
Draws
34%
KMKM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad have won more games recently than KMKM.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ittihad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al-Ittihad have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 68%
KMKM Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad KMKM
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2021 CAF Champions League
Al-Ittihad vs KMKM
2:0
Sep 12, 2021 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs Al-Ittihad
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kara Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 95 / 100
KMKM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad KMKM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KMKM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Al-Ittihad's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al-Ittihad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS KMKM
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad

(Home)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7

KMKM

(Away)
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
21 Sept
Port
1 : 2
KMKM
27 Aug
St. Georges
3 : 1
KMKM
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CI Kamsar 0
Hearts of Oak 2
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
LPRC Oiler 4
ASKO Kara 2
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Sonabel Ouagadougou 0
Stade Malien 4
TBD -
Horoya -
US Gendarmerie 2
Le Messager Ngozi 1
TBD -
Al Ahly -
KMKM 0
Al-Ittihad 4
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
AS Arta 1
Tusker 4
TBD -
Zamalek -
Mogadishu City 1
APR 2
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Bouenguidi 1
AS Maniema 3
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
AmaZulu 3
Big Bullets 2
TBD -
Mazembe -
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Diplomates 1
TBD -
Simba -
Young Africans 0
Rivers United 2
Fasil Kenema 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Teungueth 0
ASEC Mimosas 2
Akwa United 1
CR Belouizdad 2
UD Songo 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Fovu Baham 2
Petro Atletico 2
Loto 1
Nouadhibou 3
Fortune 3
ES Setif 4
Sagrada 1
Platinum 0
Royal Leopards 2
Zesco 2
Express FC 2
Al-Merreikh 2
Akonangui 0
Zanaco 3
Final
Hearts of Oak 2
Wydad Athletic 6
LPRC Oiler 0
Raja Casablanca 4
Stade Malien 1
Horoya 3
US Gendarmerie 2
Al Ahly 7
Al-Ittihad 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Tusker 0
Zamalek 5
APR 1
Etoile Sahel 5
AS Maniema 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 4
AmaZulu 1
Mazembe 1
Jwaneng Galaxy 3
Simba 3
Rivers United 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
CR Belouizdad 3
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Petro Atletico 4
Nouadhibou 3
ES Setif 3
Sagrada 3
Royal Leopards 2
Al-Merreikh 4
Zanaco 2