Sport Picks
Al Ittihad vs Nasaf Qarshi
Asia
AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City 
AI Match Summary
Al Ittihad play Nasaf Qarshi in the AFC Champions League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Ittihad averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Nasaf Qarshi averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Al Ittihad won 1, Nasaf Qarshi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 23, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Al Ittihad and 1.19 for Nasaf Qarshi. This points to a Al Ittihad double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Ittihad picked up more points recently compared to Nasaf Qarshi.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ittihad Compare
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ittihad scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
Nasaf Qarshi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Al Ittihad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Nasaf Qarshi lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram United F.C. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan Hyundai | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | 4 |