Sport Picks

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Al-Ittihad vs Rafeeq

Libya Libya

Premier League 2020/2021 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Ittihad in this Premier League 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al-Ittihad
30%
Draws
33%
Rafeeq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad have won more games recently than Rafeeq.
  • Al-Ittihad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Ittihad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Rafeeq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittihad Rafeeq
Matches Played 49 30
Wins 33 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.65 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2021 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Rafeeq
3:0
Feb 15, 2021 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al-Ittihad
1:1
Apr 2, 2019 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Rafeeq
3:0
Apr 26, 2007 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al-Ittihad
0:1
Dec 8, 2006 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Rafeeq
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 85 / 100
Rafeeq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittihad Rafeeq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rafeeq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Al-Ittihad scored in 67% of their last 49 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Al-Ittihad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ittihad VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ittihad

(Home)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 10

Rafeeq

(Away)
26 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0
Rafeeq
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2
Rafeeq
19 Jul
Rafeeq
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Jul
Rafeeq
2 : 1
Al Madina
11 Jul
Asswehly
2 : 1
Rafeeq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 22 17 2 3 38:13 53
2 Al Akhdar 22 17 1 4 40:14 52
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 22 16 4 2 36:13 52
4 Al Nasr 22 15 4 3 31:13 49
5 Khaleej Sirte 22 10 5 7 22:19 35
6 Al Sadaqa 22 6 5 11 20:26 23
7 Al Tahaddi 22 6 4 12 14:21 22
8 Darnes 22 4 9 9 20:28 21
9 Shabaab Al Jabal 22 3 9 10 23:33 18
10 Al Taawun 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
11 Al-Anwar 22 2 7 13 22:49 13
12 Ngom Ajdabiya 22 2 5 15 12:36 11
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 22 15 6 1 26:6 51
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 22 14 7 1 29:7 49
3 Olympic Azzaweya 22 9 6 7 22:19 33
4 Al Ittihad Misurata 22 9 5 8 26:25 32
5 Abu Salim 22 9 3 10 23:26 30
6 Asswehly 22 7 9 6 15:15 28
7 Al Mahalla Tripoli 22 5 11 6 21:23 26
8 Al Madina 22 6 7 9 21:17 25
9 Al-Khmes 22 5 8 9 21:28 23
10 Al Shat 22 6 4 12 17:25 22
11 Rafeeq 22 5 6 11 21:34 21
12 Al Wehda 22 4 4 14 14:31 16
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)