Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad play Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai in the AFC Champions League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Ittihad averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai averaged 2.45 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Al Ittihad won 0, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 30, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Ittihad and 1.00 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai. This points to a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Ittihad
40%
Draws
30%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ittihad picked up more points recently compared to Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 23%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.78 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Ittihad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 32 / 100
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Ittihad attacking → ← attacking Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Al Ittihad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 57
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Machida Zelvia852115:717
2Vissel Kobe851214:716
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:615
4Buriram United F.C.842210:814
5Melbourne City84229:714
6Johor DT83238:711
7Seoul824210:910
8Gangwon82339:119
9Ulsan Hyundai82336:89
10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:116
11Shanghai Shenhua81165:134
12Shanghai Port80442:114
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Hilal871017:622
2Al Ahli SC852121:917
3Tractor852112:417
4Al Ittihad850322:915
5Al Wahda842211:714
6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:1411
7Al-Duhail822416:168
8Al-Sadd822412:168
9Al Sharjah82248:168
10Al-Gharafa82067:216
11Al Shorta81256:205
12Nasaf Qarshi81169:174