Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Jabalain vs Al Adalah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Jabalain play Al Adalah in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Jabalain averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Al Adalah averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Al Jabalain won 0, Al Adalah won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Al Jabalain and 1.38 for Al Adalah. This points to a Al Jabalain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Jabalain
22%
Draws
33%
Al Adalah
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Jabalain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Jabalain picked up more points recently compared to Al Adalah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Al Jabalain Clean Sheet 17%
Al Adalah Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jabalain Al Adalah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Adalah
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Adalah
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Adalah
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jabalain Compare

Top Goalscorer Novais J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Adalah Compare

Top Goalscorer Chivaviro R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jabalain 44 / 100
Al Adalah 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jabalain Al Adalah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Jabalain or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Jabalain attacking → ← attacking Al Adalah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jabalain scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Adalah let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Al Jabalain went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Adalah lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 29
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Abha34245564:3577
2Al-Faisaly342110376:3273
3Al Diriyah34226679:3972
4Al-Ula34218572:3371
5Al Orubah34205956:3865
6Al Jabalain34178959:3859
7Al Raed3414101064:4652
8Al Zulfi3411121146:4545
9Al Taee341281448:5244
10Al Wehda341271552:5843
11Al Bukiryah341271536:4843
12Al Anwar3410111353:5441
13Jeddah Club349121334:5139
14Al Adalah34891744:7033
15Al Jandal34881834:6032
16Al Batin34572239:6922
17Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)34562324:6721
18Al Jubail34352628:7314