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Al Jahra vs Al Qadisiya

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Jahra play Al Qadisiya in the Premier League. Al Qadisiya are favorites here. Recently, Al Jahra averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Al Qadisiya averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Al Jahra won 0, Al Qadisiya won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Al Jahra and 1.50 for Al Qadisiya. This points to a Al Qadisiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Jahra
20%
Draws
60%
Al Qadisiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Jahra picked up more points recently compared to Al Qadisiya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Al Jahra Clean Sheet 16%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jahra Al Qadisiya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Jahra
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Jahra vs Al Qadisiya
0:2
Dec 23, 2023 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Jahra
2:1
Aug 30, 2023 Premier League
Al Jahra vs Al Qadisiya
1:2
Feb 9, 2023 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Jahra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jahra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dosary R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Awadhi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jahra 21 / 100
Al Qadisiya 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jahra Al Qadisiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadisiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Qadisiya & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Jahra attacking → ← attacking Al Qadisiya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jahra scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Al Qadisiya let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Jahra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Qadisiya lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 54
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Kuwait18135046:1044
2Al Qadisiya1895432:1432
3Kazma SC1886422:1730
4Al Arabi (Kuwait)1886428:1330
5Al Salmiya1886421:1230
6Al-Fahaheel1863921:3621
7Al Tadamon18531016:2818
8Al Shabab1846812:3318
9Al Naser18441017:2416
10Al Jahra18221411:398