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Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League Abbasiyyin Stadium, Damascus
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bawadakji F.
60' Event
Al Waked M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Jaish and Al-Ittihad Aleppo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Jaish
20%
Draws
52%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Jaish haven't matched Al-Ittihad Aleppo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ittihad Aleppo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Ittihad Aleppo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Al-Ittihad Aleppo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 23
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 0.77 2.71
Goals Conceded 1 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:5
Dec 7, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Waked M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Ittihad Aleppo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bawadakji F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 10 / 100
Al-Ittihad Aleppo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Al-Ittihad Aleppo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Aleppo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Ittihad Aleppo conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Jaish stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Jaish scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jaish

(Home)
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
Page 1 of 6

Al-Ittihad Aleppo

(Away)
11 Aug
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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