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Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo

Syria Syria

Premier League Abbasiyyin Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bawadakji F.
60' Event
Al Waked M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Jaish and Al-Ittihad Aleppo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al Jaish
6%
Draws
90%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Jaish haven't matched Al-Ittihad Aleppo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ittihad Aleppo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Ittihad Aleppo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Al-Ittihad Aleppo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 22
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1:5
Dec 7, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Waked M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al-Ittihad Aleppo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bawadakji F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 10 / 100
Al-Ittihad Aleppo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Al-Ittihad Aleppo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Ittihad Aleppo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Jaish stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Jaish scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 Goals Scored 3.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117