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Al Jaish vs Qamishli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League Abbasiyyin Stadium, Damascus
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Jaish host Qamishli in the Premier League. Qamishli are expected to control this from the start. Al Jaish have averaged 0.81 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Qamishli's 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 0.50) point toward Qamishli. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Jaish
25%
Draws
35%
Qamishli
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al Jaish

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Jaish come out ahead of Qamishli on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 20%
Qamishli Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Qamishli
Matches Played 32 2
Wins 11 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 0.81 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 32 / 100
Qamishli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Qamishli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qamishli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jaish's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Qamishli let in goals in 50% of their last 2 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Jaish stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Qamishli's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Qamishli
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jaish

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Nawaeir
1 : 0
Al Jaish
03 Jul
Al Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
Page 1 of 7

Qamishli

(Away)
09 Oct
Qamishli
1 : 0
Al Wahda
11 Mar
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Qamishli

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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