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Al Jazira vs Al Nasr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Conceicao de Oliveira B.
Assist: Coulibaly M.
17'
Faiz I.
29'
Wesley Delgado

AI Match Summary

The UAE League game between Al Jazira and Al Nasr finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Jazira
35%
Draws
31%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr haven't matched Al Jazira's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Jazira a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 19%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jazira Al Nasr
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.81 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Al Nasr
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Jazira
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Al Nasr
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Jazira
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Al Nasr
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jazira Compare

Top Goalscorer Conceicao de Oliveira B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghaedi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jazira 85 / 100
Al Nasr 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jazira Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jazira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jazira scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Al Nasr conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Jazira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Jazira VS Al Nasr
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jazira

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Sharjah
0 : 0
Al Jazira
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
15 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 0
Al Jazira
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
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Al Nasr

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)