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Al Jubail vs Al-Ula Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Nayef Sports City, Qatif
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Koulouris E.
(Penalty)
36'
Al Obaid W.
40'
Sub
Al Asmari R. In: Bouamer A.
Out: Al Asmari R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al Jubail and Al-Ula finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Jubail
15%
Draws
85%
Al-Ula
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Ula are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jubail Al-Ula
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al-Ula
0:2
Jan 12, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al Jubail
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jubail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Guanca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jubail 10 / 100
Al-Ula 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jubail Al-Ula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ula let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Jubail scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Jubail VS Al-Ula
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jubail

(Home)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
Page 1 of 6

Al-Ula

(Away)
14 Sept
Al-Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al-Ula
23 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)