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Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Kahraba
30%
Draws
12%
Al Gharraf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Gharraf haven't matched Al Kahraba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Kahraba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Gharraf
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf
0:0
May 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Gharraf
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Kahraba
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 59 / 100
Al Gharraf 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Gharraf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kahraba's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Gharraf let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Kahraba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Gharraf
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
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Al Gharraf

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)