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Al Karamah vs Al Nawaeir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League Khaled bin Walid Stadium, Homs
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Karamah host Al Nawaeir in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Karamah have averaged 1.84 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Al Nawaeir's 0.86 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Karamah slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2022, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.94) point toward Al Karamah. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Karamah
35%
Draws
20%
Al Nawaeir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karamah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Karamah a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Karamah have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nawaeir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karamah Al Nawaeir
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 3
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.84 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2022 Premier League
Al Nawaeir vs Al Karamah
0:1
Sep 12, 2021 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Nawaeir
3:1
Jul 23, 2020 Premier League
Al Nawaeir vs Al Karamah
0:2
Jan 28, 2020 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Nawaeir
1:1
May 18, 2019 Premier League
Al Nawaeir vs Al Karamah
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karamah 85 / 100
Al Nawaeir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karamah Al Nawaeir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karamah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karamah's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Nawaeir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Karamah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Karamah VS Al Nawaeir
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karamah

(Home)
10 Oct
Tishreen
0 : 0
Al Karamah
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
28 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 0
Al Shouleh
24 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
1 : 1
Al Karamah
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 7

Al Nawaeir

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Nawaeir
1 : 0
Al Jaish
07 May
Afrin
1 : 1
Al Nawaeir
03 May
Al Nawaeir
1 : 1
Jableh
29 Apr
Hottin
3 : 0
Al Nawaeir
26 Apr
Al Nawaeir
1 : 2
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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