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Al Karamah vs Al Taliya Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League Khaled bin Walid Stadium, Homs
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fadek M.
20' Event
Rasho S.
44' Event
Khankan S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Karamah and Al Taliya finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Karamah
15%
Draws
35%
Al Taliya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Karamah come out ahead of Al Taliya on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Karamah's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taliya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karamah Al Taliya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Taliya
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Al Karamah
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Al Karamah
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Al Taliya
4:0
Dec 1, 2023 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Al Karamah
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karamah Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajayi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Al Taliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasho S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khankan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karamah 85 / 100
Al Taliya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karamah Al Taliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karamah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karamah scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Al Karamah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Al Taliya let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Karamah VS Al Taliya
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karamah

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
28 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 0
Al-Shouleh
24 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
1 : 1
Al Karamah
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
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Al Taliya

(Away)
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
14 Jun
Al Taliya
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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