Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karamah vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Syria Syria

Premier League Khaled bin Walid Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Batran I.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Batran I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Karamah and Damascus Al-Ahli finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Karamah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Karamah
6%
Draws
4%
Damascus Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Karamah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Karamah's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 68%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karamah Damascus Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:0
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Karamah
1:2
Apr 7, 2023 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:2
Sep 16, 2022 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Karamah
0:1
Jul 8, 2020 Syria Cup
Al Karamah vs Damascus Al-Ahli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karamah Compare

Top Goalscorer Batran I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karamah 95 / 100
Damascus Al-Ahli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karamah Damascus Al-Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karamah scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Damascus Al-Ahli conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Karamah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Karamah VS Damascus Al-Ahli
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117