Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karamah vs Umayya

Syria Syria

Premier League Khaled bin Walid Stadium, Homs
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Fadel M.
60' Event
75' Event
Fadel M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Karamah and Umayya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Karamah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Karamah
15%
Draws
27%
Umayya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karamah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Karamah's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 19%
Umayya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karamah Umayya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Umayya
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Karamah
0:3
Apr 20, 2013 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Umayya
1:2
Mar 10, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Karamah
1:0
Mar 20, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Karamah
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karamah Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadel M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Umayya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karamah 85 / 100
Umayya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karamah Umayya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karamah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karamah's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Karamah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Umayya conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Karamah VS Umayya
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karamah

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
28 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 0
Al-Shouleh
24 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
1 : 1
Al Karamah
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
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Umayya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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