Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karkh vs Al Kahraba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Aiad A.
45' Event
Diego Carioca
(Penalty)
65' Event
Tandia I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Karkh
30%
Draws
29%
Al Kahraba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Karkh lately — more wins on the board than Al Kahraba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 20%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Al Kahraba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Kahraba
2:2
Apr 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Karkh
1:3
Oct 31, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Kahraba
1:1
Feb 18, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Karkh
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Kahraba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soro Nanga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Aiad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 32 / 100
Al Kahraba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Al Kahraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Kahraba conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Karkh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Karkh's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Al Kahraba
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
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Al Kahraba

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)