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Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Karkh host Al Zawraa in the Stars League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Al Karkh have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Al Zawraa's 1.23 scored and 0.84 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Karkh have won 2 to Al Zawraa's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.25, favoring Al Zawraa. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Karkh
30%
Draws
31%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Zawraa come out ahead of Al Karkh on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Al Karkh taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 19%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Al Zawraa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
2:1
Sep 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 67 / 100
Al Zawraa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karkh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Karkh's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Karkh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Zawraa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Al Zawraa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Zawraa
0 : 3
Al Golan
03 Nov
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al Riffa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
28 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Nasr
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)