Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Al Karkh

2 - 1

Baghdad

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Abdel Amir M.

(Penalty)

30'

Hmoud Y.

54'

Hmoud Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Karkh in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Karkh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Al Karkh

11%

Draws

Baghdad

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Al Karkh have won more games recently than Baghdad.
Model gives Al Karkh a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Al Karkh Clean Sheet 17%

Baghdad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Karkh	Baghdad
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	5
Draws	9	7
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Stars League

Al Karkh vs Baghdad

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jan 18, 2026 Stars League

Baghdad vs Al Karkh

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

May 28, 2024 Stars League

Al Karkh vs Baghdad

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Nov 3, 2023 Stars League

Baghdad vs Al Karkh

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

May 20, 2022 Stars League

Al Karkh vs Baghdad

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Hmoud Y.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Baghdad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 75 / 100

Baghdad 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Karkh Baghdad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baghdad conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Al Karkh's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Karkh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Baghdad

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6