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Al Karkh vs Duhok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Igor
(Penalty)
45' Event
Soro Nanga M.
49' Event
Hammood Y.

AI Match Summary

Al Karkh in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Karkh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Karkh
20%
Draws
51%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Duhok average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Karkh's 1.24.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 15%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Duhok
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Duhok
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Duhok
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Karkh
2:3
Jul 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Duhok
2:4
Nov 2, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Karkh
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Soro Nanga M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tandia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammood Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 31 / 100
Duhok 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Al Karkh found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Karkh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Duhok
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
05 Nov
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Duhok
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)