Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karkh vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Igor
(Penalty)
45' Event
Soro Nanga M.
49' Event
Hammood Y.

AI Match Summary

Al Karkh in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Karkh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Karkh
35%
Draws
39%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Karkh have won more games recently than Duhok.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 19%
Duhok Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Duhok
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Duhok
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Duhok
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Karkh
2:3
Jul 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Duhok
2:4
Nov 2, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Karkh
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Soro Nanga M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tandia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammood Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 32 / 100
Duhok 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Al Karkh found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Karkh has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Duhok
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
25 Aug
Al Karkh
0 : 1
Erbil
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Duhok

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)