Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Al Gharraf

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hussein A.
36' Event
Abdelkader A.
79' Event
Agbotcho M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Al-Karma in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Karma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Karma
6%
Draws
4%
Al Gharraf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Karma lately — more wins on the board than Al Gharraf.
  • Al-Karma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Al Gharraf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Gharraf
3:0
Dec 31, 2025 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al-Karma
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdelkader A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Gharraf Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 95 / 100
Al Gharraf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Al Gharraf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Karma found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Gharraf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Al Gharraf
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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Al Gharraf

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)