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Al-Karma vs Al-Hashd Al-Shaab

Iraq Iraq

Iraq Cup
Fri, Jun 5, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Iraq Cup. Al-Karma go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Al-Karma at 1.5 goals for, 1.25 against; Al-Hashd Al-Shaab at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Al-Karma slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al-Karma. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Karma
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Hashd Al-Shaab
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Karma lately — more wins on the board than Al-Hashd Al-Shaab.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al-Karma taking it.
  • Al-Karma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Hashd Al-Shaab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Al-Hashd Al-Shaab
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 12 3
Draws 12 3
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al-Karma vs Al-Hashd Al-Shaab
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 85 / 100
Al-Hashd Al-Shaab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Al-Hashd Al-Shaab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Karma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Karma scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Al-Hashd Al-Shaab
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al-Hashd Al-Shaab

(Away)

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Shorta-
Al Bahri-
Al-Karma-
Al-Hashd Al-Shaab-
Al Talaba-
Al Karkh-
Al-Qasim-
Al Naft-
Naft Missan-
Al Zawraa-
Duhok-
Erbil-
Al Minaa-
Zakho-
Al Quwa Al Jawiya-
Karbala-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-