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Al Karma vs Al Karkh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Karma host Al Karkh in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Karma at 1.57 goals for, 0.73 against; Al Karkh at 1.31 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Al Karma slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.69) point toward Al Karma. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Karma
15%
Draws
27%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Karma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Karma Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karma Al Karkh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Karma
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Karkh
1:1
May 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Karma
0:1
Jan 23, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Karkh
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karma 85 / 100
Al Karkh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karma Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karma's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Karkh conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Al Karma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Karma VS Al Karkh
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al Karma
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al Karma
30 Aug
Al Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)