Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Al Mosul

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Aleman C.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Bauer R.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al-Karma
15%
Draws
5%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Karma lately — more wins on the board than Al Mosul.
  • Win probability leans Al-Karma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Al Mosul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 12 13
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Mosul
1:1
Mar 26, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Mosul
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al-Karma
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 95 / 100
Al Mosul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mosul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Al-Karma has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Karma found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Al Mosul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Karma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
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Al Mosul

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Mosul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)