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Al Karma vs Al Mosul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Al Karma Logo

Al Karma

1 - 1
FT
Al Mosul Logo

Al Mosul

Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Aleman C.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Bauer R.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Al Karma
20%
Draws
23%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Karma lately — more wins on the board than Al Mosul.
  • Win probability leans Al Karma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karma Al Mosul
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Mosul
1:1
Mar 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Al Mosul
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Karma
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karma 95 / 100
Al Mosul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karma Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karma's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Mosul has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Al Karma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Karma VS Al Mosul
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karma

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Karma
4 : 1
Naft Missan
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1
Al Karma
17 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Karma
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

Al Mosul

(Away)
05 Nov
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Duhok
29 Oct
Al Mosul
2 : 4
Al Golan
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Erbil
0 : 1
Al Mosul
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)