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Al Karma vs Duhok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Karma host Duhok in the Stars League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Karma have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.72 conceded recently, against Duhok's 1.27 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Karma slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Al Karma to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Karma
30%
Draws
19%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karma have won more games recently than Duhok.
  • Model gives Al Karma a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Karma here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Karma Clean Sheet 20%
Duhok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karma Duhok
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Stars League
Al Karma vs Duhok
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Karma
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Karma vs Duhok
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Karma
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karma 76 / 100
Duhok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karma Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karma found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Duhok has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Karma stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Karma VS Duhok
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karma

(Home)
17 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Karma
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al Karma
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)