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Al Kawkab vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:20 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kawkab host Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) in the Division 2. This has Al Kawkab written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Al Kawkab at 1.21 goals for, 1.28 against; Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) at 0.76 for, 2.14 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Al Kawkab to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Kawkab
30%
Draws
41%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Kawkab lately — more wins on the board than Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia).
  • Al Kawkab are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Kawkab Clean Sheet 20%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kawkab Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.21 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kawkab 42 / 100
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kawkab Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Al Kawkab scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Al Kawkab went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kawkab VS Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kawkab

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Najoom
1 : 2
Al Kawkab
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al Kawkab
04 Apr
Al Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al Kawkab
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Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 0
Qilwah
13 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2 : 3
Al Jandal
09 May
Al Jabalain
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Al Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Al Taraji 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Wej Sports Club 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Batin 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Al Qwarah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Hottain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Ain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Arar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Mudhar Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Qalah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Baish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Afief 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Nairea 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Al Gottah 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sharq 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Al Entesar 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Al Kawkab 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Jubail 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Al Hada 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Al Loa 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Al Qous 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Najran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Shoalah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Rawdhah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Jerash 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Najoom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Qilwah 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Jubbah 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
16 Al Washm 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)