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Al Khaboora vs Al Nasr Prediction & H2H Stats

Oman Oman

Sultan Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Al Shahri H.
28'
Al Ghatrifi K.
82' Event
Al Marzouei K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Al Nasr advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Khaboora
35%
Draws
40%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Al Khaboora on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Al Nasr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nasr, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Al Khaboora Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khaboora Al Nasr
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Khaboora
2:0
Dec 27, 2025 Sultan Cup
Al Khaboora vs Al Nasr
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Professional League
Al Khaboora vs Al Nasr
0:1
May 3, 2025 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Khaboora
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Professional League
Al Khaboora vs Al Nasr
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khaboora Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Marzouei K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shahri H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fahad A. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khaboora 36 / 100
Al Nasr 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khaboora Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Al Khaboora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Khaboora's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Nasr has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Khaboora VS Al Nasr
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khaboora

(Home)
23 May
Dhofar
2 : 1
Al Khaboora
18 May
Al Khaboora
3 : 3
Al Rustaq
12 May
Sur Club
2 : 1
Al Khaboora
04 May
Al Khaboora
0 : 0
Saham
26 Apr
Al Samail
0 : 2
Al Khaboora
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Shabab -
TBD -
Nizwa 1
Dhofar 3
Al Mudhaibi 2
Al Wahda 3
TBD -
Oman Club -
Al Khaboora -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nasr -
Al Rustaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Sohar -
Al Seeb -
TBD -
Jaalan 2
Salalah SC 1
Al Samail 0
Muscat 2
TBD -
Saham -
Bahla -
TBD -
Ibri 0
Sur Club 1
Al Msnaa 2
Fanja SC 1
TBD -
Al Nahda -
1/8-finals
Al Shabab 0
Dhofar 1
Al Wahda 1
Oman Club 2
Al Khaboora 1
Al Nasr 2
Al Rustaq 1
Sohar 2
Al Seeb 2
Jaalan 0
Muscat 0
Saham 1
Bahla 1
Sur Club 2
Al Msnaa 1
Al Nahda 3
Quarter-finals
Dhofar 0
Oman Club 1
Al Nasr 1
Sohar 0
Al Seeb 6
Saham 4
Sur Club 2
Al Nahda 6
Semi-finals
Oman Club 3
Al Nasr 1
Al Seeb 1
Al Nahda 2
Final
Oman Club 0
Al Nahda 2