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Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Khaleej play Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League. Al Ahli SC are favorites here. Recently, Al Khaleej averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Al Ahli SC averaged 2.16 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Al Khaleej won 0, Al Ahli SC won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Al Khaleej and 2.00 for Al Ahli SC. This points to a Al Ahli SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Khaleej
18%
Draws
59%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Khaleej picked up more points recently compared to Al Ahli SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khaleej Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 24
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.53 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli SC
1:4
Jan 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej
4:1
Mar 7, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli SC
0:3
Dec 29, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Khaleej
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer Masouras G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamidou R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Buraikan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khaleej 23 / 100
Al Ahli SC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khaleej Al Ahli SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Ahli SC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Khaleej attacking → ← attacking Al Ahli SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khaleej scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli SC let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Khaleej went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli SC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 76
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616