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Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq FC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Al Khaleej play Al Ettifaq FC in the Saudi Professional League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Khaleej averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Al Ettifaq FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Al Khaleej won 1, Al Ettifaq FC won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Al Khaleej and 1.69 for Al Ettifaq FC. This points to a Al Ettifaq FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Khaleej
15%
Draws
52%
Al Ettifaq FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ettifaq FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Al Khaleej picked up more points recently compared to Al Ettifaq FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 13%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khaleej Al Ettifaq FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq FC
0:5
Jan 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Khaleej
1:2
May 2, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Khaleej
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:2
Feb 15, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khaleej Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghannam K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wijnaldum G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khaleej 32 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khaleej Al Ettifaq FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Ettifaq FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Khaleej attacking → ← attacking Al Ettifaq FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khaleej scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Ettifaq FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Khaleej went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Ettifaq FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 43
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616