Sport Picks
Al Khaleej vs Al Najma Prediction & H2H Stats
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam 
Match Events
7'
7'
King J.
Assist: Al Jayzani H.
16'
16'
Lazaro
Penalty Missed
16'
16'
Moris A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Khaleej and Al Najma finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Khaleej.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Najma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Khaleej come out ahead of Al Najma on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Al Najma's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 16%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Khaleej | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Najma
3:1
Jan 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Khaleej
2:2
Mar 14, 2013 Division 1
Al Khaleej vs Al Najma
4:1
Nov 14, 2012 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Khaleej
1:0
Feb 4, 2011 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Khaleej
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Khaleej Compare
Top Goalscorer King J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fernandes P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Al Najma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Khaleej 19 / 100
Al Najma 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Khaleej Al Najma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Najma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Al Khaleej scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Al Khaleej has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Khaleej VS Al Najma
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Khaleej
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0 Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5 Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1 Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5 Al Hilal
22 Aug
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Shabab
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 3
Al Najma
(Away) 19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1 Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0 Al Najma
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1 Al Najma
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0 Al Najma
14 May
Al Fateh
2 : 0 Al Najma
04 May
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0 Al Najma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
