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Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gleison Moreira
21' Event
Beya J.
52' Event
Bouhra S.

AI Match Summary

Al Khalidiyah in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Khalidiyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Khalidiyah
20%
Draws
38%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Khalidiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Khalidiyah lately — more wins on the board than Al-Najma.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Khalidiyah taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Khalidiyah have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Khalidiyah Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khalidiyah Al-Najma
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 25 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al Khalidiyah
1:3
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma
3:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al Khalidiyah
1:3
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khalidiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleison Moreira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Al-Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khalidiyah 42 / 100
Al-Najma 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khalidiyah Al-Najma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Khalidiyah scored in 84% of their last 37 outings.

Al-Najma let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Khalidiyah stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Khalidiyah VS Al-Najma
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567