Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Meherzi A.
43' Event
Fetheddine Y.
45' Event
Gele J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al-Kharitiyath
30%
Draws
47%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Bidda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Kharitiyath carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Al-Kharitiyath have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Kharitiyath, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al-Kharitiyath Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Kharitiyath Al Bidda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al-Kharitiyath
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Emir Cup
Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Bidda
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 QSL 2
Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Bidda
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Emir Cup
Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Bidda
2:1
Apr 10, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al-Kharitiyath
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Kharitiyath Compare

Top Goalscorer Fetheddine Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gele J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Dal Bello Fagundes C. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Kharitiyath 32 / 100
Al Bidda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Kharitiyath Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Bidda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Kharitiyath's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Bidda has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al-Kharitiyath stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Kharitiyath VS Al Bidda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Kharitiyath

(Home)
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al-Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
08 May
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 6

Al Bidda

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4