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Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakra

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zouhzouh A.
75' Event
Al Jalabi J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Kharitiyath
35%
Draws
30%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Kharitiyath come out ahead of Al Wakra on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Kharitiyath's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Al Kharitiyath have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Wakra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Kharitiyath Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kharitiyath Al Wakra
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 QSL Cup
Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Wakra
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Kharitiyath
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 QSL
Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Wakra
0:2
Jan 25, 2021 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Kharitiyath
1:2
Dec 28, 2020 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Kharitiyath
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kharitiyath Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Jalabi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouhzouh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kharitiyath 40 / 100
Al Wakra 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kharitiyath Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kharitiyath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kharitiyath found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Wakra let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Kharitiyath went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Kharitiyath VS Al Wakra
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kharitiyath

(Home)
28 Sept
Al-Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al-Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 7

Al Wakra

(Away)
28 Sept
Al-Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Al Duhail 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Umm-Salal 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Qatar SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Al Wakra 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Lusail 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Al Waab 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Al Gharafa 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Muaither SC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Al Shahaniya 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Al Rayyan 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Al Sailiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Al Ahli 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Al Markhiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Al Kharitiyath 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Al Arabi (Qatar) 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Al Mesaimeer 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
18 Al Khor 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
19 Al Bidda 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)