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Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Al-Khmes Logo

Al-Khmes

3 - 2
FT
Al Dahra Logo

Al Dahra

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Amseimin A.
27' Event
Al Bukhari M.
29' Event
Khamis S.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al-Khmes and Al Dahra finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Khmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al-Khmes
30%
Draws
31%
Al Dahra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Khmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Khmes come out ahead of Al Dahra on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 20%
Al Dahra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Khmes Al Dahra
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra
3:2
Dec 17, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al-Khmes
3:1
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra
3:2
Jan 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al-Khmes
1:0
Jul 5, 2022 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Dahra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Khmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Arbed F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Dahra Compare

Top Goalscorer Amseimin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Bukhari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Khmes 32 / 100
Al Dahra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Khmes Al Dahra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Dahra conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Al-Khmes scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al-Khmes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Khmes VS Al Dahra
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Khmes

(Home)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 6

Al Dahra

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2
Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3
Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Dahra
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al-Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al-Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al-Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al-Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al-Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al-Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)