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Al-Khmes vs Al Mahalla Tripoli

Libya Libya

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Al-Khmes and Al Mahalla Tripoli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al-Khmes
20%
Draws
38%
Al Mahalla Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Khmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Khmes come out ahead of Al Mahalla Tripoli on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al-Khmes taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mahalla Tripoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Khmes Al Mahalla Tripoli
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2023 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al-Khmes
0:1
Dec 22, 2022 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
1:1
May 11, 2022 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al-Khmes
2:0
Jan 12, 2022 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
0:0
Jun 24, 2021 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al-Khmes
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Khmes 42 / 100
Al Mahalla Tripoli 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Khmes Al Mahalla Tripoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Khmes scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Mahalla Tripoli conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Al-Khmes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Khmes VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Benghazi1889126:1633
2Al Nasr1879220:1530
3Al Hilal Benghazi1885523:1629
4Al Akhdar1875623:1926
5Darnes1876520:1724
6Al Taawun1859421:2124
7Al Sadaqa18411316:1823
8Al-Suqoor1848617:2220
9Al Tahaddi1828812:2014
10Shabaab Al Jabal18141310:244
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad18115218:635
2Al Ahly Tripoli1888224:1132
3Abu Salim1888216:832
4Olympic Azzaweya1867523:1725
5Asswehly1866619:1924
6Asaria18210616:2716
7Al-Khmes1846811:1815
8Al Madina18310515:1913
9Al Ittihad Misurata1829712:1612
10Al Mahalla Tripoli1819811:246