Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Khmes vs Al Qadisiyah

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Khmes play Al Qadisiyah in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al-Khmes averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Al Qadisiyah averaged 0.61 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Khmes won 1, Al Qadisiyah won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Khmes and 1.00 for Al Qadisiyah. This points to a Al Qadisiyah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Khmes
40%
Draws
30%
Al Qadisiyah
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Al Qadisiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Khmes picked up more points recently compared to Al Qadisiyah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 23%
Al Qadisiyah Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Khmes Al Qadisiyah
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.87 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiyah vs Al-Khmes
0:2
Dec 31, 2025 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Qadisiyah
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Khmes 32 / 100
Al Qadisiyah 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Khmes Al Qadisiyah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qadisiyah or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Khmes attacking → ← attacking Al Qadisiyah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Khmes scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al Qadisiyah let in goals in 61% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Al-Khmes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Qadisiyah lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 20
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380