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Al Kholood vs Al Hilal

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kholood play Al Hilal in the King Cup 2025/2026. Al Hilal are favorites here. Recently, Al Kholood averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Al Hilal averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Al Kholood won 0, Al Hilal won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Al Kholood and 2.13 for Al Hilal. This points to a Al Hilal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Al Kholood
16%
Draws
63%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Kholood picked up more points recently compared to Al Hilal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Hilal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 1.17 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 King Cup
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Kholood
6:0
Dec 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
1:3
Feb 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Kholood
5:1
Sep 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrique R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dawsari N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 21 / 100
Al Hilal 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Hilal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Hilal & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Kholood attacking → ← attacking Al Hilal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Al Hilal let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Al Kholood went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Hilal lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 68
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00