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Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Enrique R.
Assist: Al Aliwa A.
24' Event
Maolida M.
Assist: Bahebri H.
32'
Sub
Asiri A. In: Fernandes P.
Out: Asiri A.

AI Match Summary

Al Kholood host Al Khaleej in the King Cup 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Al Kholood have averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Al Khaleej's 1.13 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Kholood have won 3 to Al Khaleej's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.69, favoring Al Kholood. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Kholood
28%
Draws
22%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al Kholood demonstrates higher offensive output (1.25 avg goals) than Al Khaleej (1.13 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Al Kholood.
  • Cup tournament structure in King Cup 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 13%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Khaleej
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
2:2
Feb 24, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood
2:3
Nov 28, 2025 King Cup
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
4:3
Mar 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrique R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maolida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamzi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Amri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 48 / 100
Al Khaleej 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Khaleej

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Al Khaleej let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Kholood went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Khaleej lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kholood VS Al Khaleej
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Batin3
Al Ettifaq FC2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)0
Al Ahli SC5
Al Orubah1
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem Rass2
Neom SC1
Al Raed0
Al Okhdood1
Al Adalah0
Al Hilal1
Al Jabalain1
Al Fateh2
Al Jubail0
Al Riyadh1
Al Bukiryah1
Al Kholood2
Al Najma2
Damac1
Al Taee0
Al Khaleej5
Al-Faisaly0
Al Taawon4
Jeddah Club0
Al Nassr4
Al Wehda0
Al Ittihad1
Abha2
Al Shabab3
Al Zulfi1
Al Fayha0
1/8-finals
Al Batin0
Al Ahli SC3
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem Rass1
Al Okhdood0
Al Hilal1
Al Fateh2
Al Riyadh0
Al Kholood1
Al Najma0
Al Khaleej2
Al Taawon1
Al Nassr1
Al Ittihad2
Al Shabab1
Al Zulfi0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC4
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hilal4
Al Fateh1
Al Kholood4
Al Khaleej3
Al Ittihad4
Al Shabab1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
Al Kholood3
Al Ittihad2
Final
Al Hilal2
Al Kholood1