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Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kholood play Al Khaleej in the King Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Kholood averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Al Khaleej averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Al Kholood won 3, Al Khaleej won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Al Kholood and 1.69 for Al Khaleej. This points to a Al Kholood double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Kholood
20%
Draws
37%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kholood picked up more points recently compared to Al Khaleej.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 13%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Khaleej
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
2:2
Feb 24, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood
2:3
Nov 28, 2025 King Cup
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
4:3
Mar 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrique R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maolida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamzi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Amri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 41 / 100
Al Khaleej 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Khaleej

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Kholood or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Kholood attacking → ← attacking Al Khaleej

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Al Khaleej let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Kholood went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Khaleej lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 30
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38