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Al Kholood vs Al Shabab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Martinez Tobinson R. B.
Assist: Brownhill J.
22'
Podence D.
22'
Camara M.

AI Match Summary

Al Kholood in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Kholood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Kholood
20%
Draws
80%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shabab lately — more wins on the board than Al Kholood.
  • Win probability leans Al Shabab's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 12%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Shabab
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Kholood
1:2
Apr 10, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Kholood
2:0
Nov 7, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortajarena I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dawsari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Tobinson R. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 10 / 100
Al Shabab 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Kholood scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Al Shabab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Kholood VS Al Shabab
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kholood

(Home)
29 Oct
Al Nassr
5 : 3
Al Kholood
24 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
15 Oct
Al Faisaly
3 : 2
Al Kholood
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

Al Shabab

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Shabab
6 : 1
Al Ahli SC
22 Oct
Al Fateh
1 : 3
Al Shabab
19 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 2
Al Faisaly
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 11 10 0 1 32:9 30
2 Al Qadsiah 12 9 1 2 32:12 28
3 Al Nassr 11 9 1 1 28:11 28
4 Al Ittihad 11 7 3 1 21:11 24
5 Neom SC 12 7 1 4 18:10 22
6 Al Ahli SC 11 7 0 4 28:19 21
7 Al Ettifaq FC 12 5 4 3 18:17 19
8 Al Diriyah 12 4 3 5 10:13 15
9 Al Khaleej 12 3 6 3 14:19 15
10 Al Shabab 11 3 5 3 20:15 14
11 Al Kholood 11 3 3 5 17:26 12
12 Al Riyadh 11 3 3 5 11:25 12
13 Al Fayha 12 2 5 5 16:20 11
14 Al Hazem Rass 12 2 4 6 14:20 10
15 Al Faisaly 12 2 4 6 13:24 10
16 Al Fateh 12 1 3 8 10:25 6
17 Al Taawon 12 0 5 7 6:20 5
18 Abha 11 0 3 8 7:19 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)