Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Martinez Tobinson R. B.
Assist: Brownhill J.
22'
Podence D.
22'
Camara M.

AI Match Summary

Al Kholood in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Kholood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Kholood
35%
Draws
14%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shabab lately — more wins on the board than Al Kholood.
  • Win probability leans Al Kholood's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 15%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Shabab
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Kholood
1:2
Apr 10, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Kholood
2:0
Nov 7, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortajarena I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dawsari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Tobinson R. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 84 / 100
Al Shabab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kholood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Kholood's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Al Shabab has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Kholood VS Al Shabab
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kholood

(Home)
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1
Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
22 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 2
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 7

Al Shabab

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)