Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Utkus E.
Assist: Buckley J.
30' Event
Kortajarena I.
40' Event
Pinas S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Kholood and Al Taawon finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Kholood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Al Kholood
30%
Draws
16%
Al Taawon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kholood carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Kholood's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Taawon
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Kholood
1:2
Dec 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon
0:2
Apr 4, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Kholood
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Top Goalscorer Utkus E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kortajarena I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Taawon Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamdallah A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 49 / 100
Al Taawon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Taawon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kholood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Taawon conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Al Kholood found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Kholood stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kholood VS Al Taawon
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kholood

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Taawon

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)