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Al Khor vs Al Arabi (Qatar) Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Olunga M.
20' Event
Sarabia P.
40' Event
Hanni S.

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Khor
30%
Draws
47%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Arabi (Qatar)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) have won more games recently than Al Khor.
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Arabi (Qatar), who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 14%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khor Al Arabi (Qatar)
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Khor vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:4
Feb 8, 2025 QSL
Al Khor vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:4
Sep 14, 2024 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Khor
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Khor
4:1
Apr 19, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Khor vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanni S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarabia P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Olunga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khor 23 / 100
Al Arabi (Qatar) 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khor Al Arabi (Qatar)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Arabi (Qatar) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Arabi (Qatar) conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Al Khor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Khor VS Al Arabi (Qatar)
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khor

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al-Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Away)
21 Sept
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2
Shamal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)