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Al Khor vs Al Markhiya

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026 Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Smiri K.
Own Goal
21' Event
Lameiras R.
62' Event
Lucao

AI Match Summary

Al Markhiya in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Markhiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Al Khor
15%
Draws
68%
Al Markhiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Al Khor haven't matched Al Markhiya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Markhiya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Markhiya here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 11%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khor Al Markhiya
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 QSL 2
Al Khor vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Khor vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Jan 27, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Khor
2:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Khor
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Khor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lameiras R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khor 10 / 100
Al Markhiya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khor Al Markhiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khor scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Markhiya conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Khor stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Khor VS Al Markhiya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khor

(Home)
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al-Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
27 Jul
Al Khor
1 : 2
Al Fujairah
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Al Markhiya

(Away)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)