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Al Khor vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gomes R.
(Penalty)
10' Event
Hagana A.
Own Goal
71' Event
Jjbril S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Al Khor and Lusail finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Khor
33%
Draws
27%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Khor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Khor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 12%
Lusail Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khor Lusail
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Division 2
Al Khor vs Lusail
1:5
Aug 26, 2025 Division 2
Lusail vs Al Khor
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Emir Cup
Al Khor vs Lusail
2:1
Dec 23, 2023 Division 2
Lusail vs Al Khor
1:1
Sep 22, 2023 Division 2
Al Khor vs Lusail
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Jjbril S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Jaouni Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khor 38 / 100
Lusail 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khor Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khor scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Al Khor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Khor VS Lusail
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khor

(Home)
27 Jul
Al Khor
1 : 2
Al Fujairah
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
12 Apr
Al-Kharitiyath
2 : 2
Al Khor
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

Lusail

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusail1492328:1429
2Al-Kharitiyath1474323:1125
3Al Markhiya1465324:1823
4Muaither SC1463526:2821
5Al Mesaimeer1452719:2117
6Al Khor1445521:2517
7Al-Waab1433815:2512
8Al Bidda1432913:2711
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)