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Al Khor vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026 Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gomes R.
(Penalty)
10' Event
Hagana A.
Own Goal
71' Event
Jjbril S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Khor and Lusail finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Khor
20%
Draws
58%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusail's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Al Khor have produced (1.48).
  • Lusail are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 10%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khor Lusail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 QSL 2
Al Khor vs Lusail
1:5
Aug 26, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Khor
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Emir Cup
Al Khor vs Lusail
2:1
Dec 23, 2023 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Khor
1:1
Sep 22, 2023 QSL 2
Al Khor vs Lusail
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Jjbril S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fadi Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khor 14 / 100
Lusail 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khor Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khor scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Al Khor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Khor VS Lusail
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khor

(Home)
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al-Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
27 Jul
Al Khor
1 : 2
Al Fujairah
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Lusail

(Away)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)