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Al Kuwait vs Al Naser

Kuwait Kuwait

Crown Prince Cup Al Kuwait Sports Club Stadium, Kuwait
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Muhammad Y.
50' Event
Abdulrahman O.
56' Event
Berrahma M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Kuwait
35%
Draws
31%
Al Naser
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Kuwait lately — more wins on the board than Al Naser.
  • Win probability leans Al Kuwait's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Al Kuwait have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Kuwait, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Kuwait have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Kuwait Clean Sheet 20%
Al Naser Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kuwait Al Naser
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Naser vs Al Kuwait
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Kuwait vs Al Naser
3:0
Jan 19, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Kuwait vs Al Naser
3:2
Nov 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Kuwait vs Al Naser
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Kuwait vs Al Naser
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kuwait Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulrahman O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berrahma M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Naser Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hassan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kuwait 42 / 100
Al Naser 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kuwait Al Naser

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kuwait's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Naser conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Kuwait stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kuwait VS Al Naser
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kuwait

(Home)
05 Sept
Al Kuwait
1 : 0
Al Jahra
31 Aug
Al Qadisiya
0 : 1
Al Kuwait
25 Aug
Al Kuwait
3 : 3
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
29 Jun
Al Qadisiya
0 : 0
Al Kuwait
25 Jun
Al Kuwait
0 : 0
Kazma SC
Page 1 of 7

Al Naser

(Away)
04 Sept
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Al Naser
30 Aug
Al Naser
2 : 1
Al-Fahaheel
26 Aug
Al Salmiya
1 : 2
Al Naser
26 Jun
Al Naser
1 : 1
Al Jahra
21 Jun
Al Tadamon
1 : 1
Al Naser
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Yarmouk 1
Al Shabab 0
Al Qadisiya 2
Al-Fahaheel 1
Al-Jazira 0
Al Sulaibikhat 3
Kazma SC 2
Al Kuwait 3
Khaitan 0
Burgan 2
Al Jahra 0
Al Salmiya 1
Al Tadamon 2
Al Naser 1
Al Sahel 0
Quarter-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al Qadisiya 0
Al-Fahaheel 3
Al Sulaibikhat 0
Al Kuwait 3
Burgan 0
Al Tadamon 0
Al Naser 4
Semi-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al-Fahaheel 0
Al Kuwait 3
Al Naser 2
Final
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3
Al Kuwait 0