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Al Kuwait vs Svay Rieng

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium
Wed, May 13, 2026
4 - 3
04:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tiago Alves
9' Event
Fujii R.
Assist: Tiago Alves
46'
Sub
Freih M. In: Doumbia I.
Out: Freih M.

AI Match Summary

Al Kuwait in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Kuwait.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Kuwait
6%
Draws
4%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Kuwait

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Kuwait have won more games recently than Svay Rieng.
  • Win probability leans Al Kuwait's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Kuwait Clean Sheet 16%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kuwait Svay Rieng
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Al Kuwait vs Svay Rieng
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kuwait Compare

Top Goalscorer Berrahma M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marhoon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Alves
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fujii R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kuwait 84 / 100
Svay Rieng 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kuwait Svay Rieng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Kuwait scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Al Kuwait remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Svay Rieng has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Kuwait VS Svay Rieng
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Ansar0
Muras United3
Al-Shabab3
Al Kuwait5
Svay Rieng6
Phnom Penh Crown2
Dewa United2
Manila Digger3
Semi-finals
Muras United1
Al Kuwait2
Svay Rieng4
Manila Digger1
Final
Al Kuwait4
Svay Rieng3