Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Loa vs Al Rayan

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Loa in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Loa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Loa
20%
Draws
46%
Al Rayan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Rayan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Loa lately — more wins on the board than Al Rayan.
  • Al Loa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Loa Clean Sheet 16%
Al Rayan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Loa Al Rayan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Division 2
Al Loa vs Al Rayan
2:1
Nov 12, 2025 Division 2
Al Rayan vs Al Loa
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Loa 41 / 100
Al Rayan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Loa Al Rayan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Loa scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Al Rayan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Loa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Loa VS Al Rayan
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Loa

(Home)
09 Apr
Ohod
0 : 1
Al Loa
03 Apr
Al Loa
4 : 1
Bisha
27 Mar
Hajer
2 : 2
Al Loa
13 Mar
Al Qalah
2 : 2
Al Loa
06 Mar
Al Loa
4 : 0
Hottain
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Al Rayan

(Away)
09 Apr
Bisha
0 : 2
Al Rayan
03 Apr
Al Rayan
3 : 2
Hajer
27 Mar
Al Rayan
4 : 3
Wej Sports Club
13 Mar
Hottain
1 : 3
Al Rayan
06 Mar
Al Rayan
1 : 0
Al Qalah
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)