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Al-Mabarrah vs Jwayya SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Watfa K.
73' Event
Badamassi O.
Assist: Kitwa R.
90' Event
Awada H.
Assist: Bazzi H.

AI Match Summary

Jwayya SC in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jwayya SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al-Mabarrah
20%
Draws
64%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jwayya SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jwayya SC have won more games recently than Al-Mabarrah.
  • Model gives Jwayya SC a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 23%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mabarrah Jwayya SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Jwayya SC
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al-Mabarrah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Badamassi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Awada H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
Jwayya SC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mabarrah Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jwayya SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Mabarrah scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Jwayya SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jwayya SC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mabarrah VS Jwayya SC
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Mabarrah

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)