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Al-Mabarrah vs Nejmeh SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
El Fadl A.
Assist: Kassas A.
29' Event
El Zein K.
Assist: Khamis K.
42' Event
El Mokdad H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Mabarrah and Nejmeh SC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Al-Mabarrah
20%
Draws
73%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nejmeh SC a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nejmeh SC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 23%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mabarrah Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.97
Goals Conceded 2 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al-Mabarrah
5:0
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Nejmeh SC
2:2
Feb 16, 2014 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Nejmeh SC
1:7
Oct 19, 2013 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al-Mabarrah
4:2
Feb 11, 2012 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al-Mabarrah
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mokdad H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soumare B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Fadl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Zein K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
Nejmeh SC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mabarrah Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al-Mabarrah scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Nejmeh SC let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Al-Mabarrah has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mabarrah VS Nejmeh SC
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Mabarrah

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)